The race is on and democrats will lose.
For the 2018 midterm election, democrats have jumpstarted their way to another glorious night of high hopes and big losses. In my circle we vocalize that as, “PAAAHHH” – or for the uninitiated – “Pulling A Hillary”1
The Democratic Party is basically NASCAR in its hay day: the cheering mob doesn’t anticipate the excitement of the final lap, but the horrific spectacle of the big crash.
Ahhhh, democrats; bless their lil’ hearts. They’re so cute – the way they get excited over and over again, only to have their bleeding hearts handed to them on election night. Excuse me: election nights… one must not ignore the plurality of Democratic Party reality.
Democrats will lose in 20182. Democrats will not win back the House, nor a win a majority in the U.S. Senate. Their current election strategy and (ironically) preachy approach will accomplish nothing more than create a House of Representatives that perfectly reflects America’s gerrymandered districts, and a Senate akin to a near-sited turtle with sleep apnea and a collection of off-shore bank accounts3.
Democrats are losing the heart of America, and their 2018 election strategy will only make it worse.
While the Democratic National Committee searches far and wide (i.e. Orange County and Florida suburbs) for democrat candidates with military experience, The Majority is slipping away… again.
Early-adopter 2018 Democratic candidates are asking the wrong questions of moderate voters… no… that’s wrong. They aren’t even asking questions. As usual, democrats are telling voters what to think… no wonder over half of Americans think the Democratic Party is run by elitist, nitwit snowflakes.
The mighty Political Consultant Class has already focussed their $10,000 monthly retainer to a losing message: “I’m a fiscally conservative democrat who will serve as a check on Trump”.
“A check on Trump” won’t win Congress, and the moldy hope that a democrat can win republican hearts by saying “I’m fiscally conservative” is Twainian with a dash of Pratchett and a side order of Palahnuik.
“I’m a fiscally conservative democrat” has never flipped a congressional district – let alone a the gerrymandered districts drawn in 2012. That message is literally laughed at by life-long republicans. Moreover, as far as wallet-voting suburbanites are concerned, Paul Ryan is doing a perfectly good job keeping Trump in check while clandestinely lowering their taxes4.
If democrats in this country – regular, everyday democrats – have any power remaining in their weary souls, they should fire every political consultant and shun every candidate who has the audacity to enterprise that such balderdash might win back Congress in 2018.
Democrats need to stop telling voters that they can “be a check on Trump”.
Democrats need to stop telling voters what they should be and how they should act.
Democratic candidates need to ask republicans one question: Why are you a republican?
Candidates need to wait at their front door and make moderates answer that question. If they answer, there’s a good chance of realizing their policy stances are better represented by donkeys than elephants. If you can start a real dialog – not a stale sales pitch – then they will convince themselves to vote for a democrat, which is the only way to break the entrenchments of political identity.
Create the conversation. Reminded them what democracy means. Remind them it’s not a reality TV show, a sporting event, a religion, or a war.
Force republicans to detail why they self-identify with the Republican Party – start a real conversation – then there’s a chance of winning in 2018.
1 Which has definitively surpassed, and therefore replaced, “jumping the shark”. (back)
2 Well… unless they listen to me, of course. (back)
3 NOT metaphorically. (back)
4 Paul Ryan doesn’t even have to mask his efforts, because the navel-gazing media is too busy swatting at presidential tweets like cats chasing pen lasers.